7 comparable signal changes across 7 domains between the daily endpoints. These are registered observations, not independent votes or a forecast.
No saved editorial is available for this edition. The captured observations follow.
Bitcoin Daily Brief · 2026-11-07 · at least 24 hours delayed
Bitcoin Daily Brief — 2026-11-07
Evidence cutoff: 2026-11-07 06:00:00 UTC
Report saved: 2026-11-07 06:05:20 UTC
Inspect this edition’s charts and complete evidence in the free terminal →
Signals can share inputs; counts are not independent confirmations. Sources, units and observation times must be checked in the underlying evidence.
Macro conditions
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- US M2 +5.7% year-on-year · money supply expands — bullish
- US 10-year real yield 2.60% · a high hurdle for risk assets — bearish
- Dollar index/proxy +0.73% · 24h · dollar firms — bearish
- VIX 28.2 · high 30-day equity implied volatility — bearish
- Economic surprise: US Non-Farm Employment Change · +154% versus consensus — neutral
ETF demand
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- ETF net outflow $412M · redemptions lead · session 2026-11-06 — bearish
- ETF flow z=-1.3 · below its 60-day reference · session 2026-11-06 — bearish
- ETF net outflow $1282M · 7 calendar days · session 2026-11-06 — bearish
- Weekly ETF net flow weakens by $1079M versus the prior 7 days · session 2026-11-06 — bearish
- IBIT accounts for 81% of absolute fund flows · ETFs net outflow · session 2026-11-06 — bearish
- ETF flows narrow across funds · concentration HHI +0.39 · 7d · session 2026-11-06 — neutral
On-chain valuation
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- MVRV-Z 0.71 · bottom watch — bullish
- Reserve Risk 0.000567 · bottom watch, deep value — bullish
- Net realised losses $0.53B · losses outweigh gains — bullish
- Stablecoin/BTC market-cap ratio 16.3% · upper band — bullish
- Tracked exchanges receive $3743M in net transfers · 7d — bearish
- Long-term-holder supply -44,715 BTC · 7d — bearish
Positioning
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- DVOL 39.1 · subdued 30-day implied volatility — bullish
- Signed delta-weighted OI -5599 · put-side delta outweighs calls — bullish
- Accounts lean long · long/short ratio 2.90 — bearish
Prediction markets
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- 2 research-shortlisted wallets observed across 1 daily BTC contract — informational
Price structure
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- Trend mixed · price +1.7% versus EMA200; EMA20 at or below EMA50 — bullish
- Hidden bearish divergence · price lower high, RSI higher high — bearish
- MACD histogram -319.9430 · momentum below the signal line — bearish
- Break-of-structure bearish · close broke 76264 — bearish
- Weekly Crypto Ichimoku · below cloud — bearish
Sentiment
Coverage: available. Comparable with the previous endpoint.
- F&G 25/100 · fear holds the mood — bullish
Coverage and historical checks
Missing domains: none listed. Unsupported domains: none listed.
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